{"id":51470,"date":"2026-02-28T13:19:03","date_gmt":"2026-02-28T13:19:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/les-deux-elephants-dans-le-magasin-de-porcelaine"},"modified":"2026-02-28T13:19:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-28T13:19:03","slug":"les-deux-elephants-dans-le-magasin-de-porcelaine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/fr\/les-deux-elephants-dans-le-magasin-de-porcelaine","title":{"rendered":"Les deux \u00e9l\u00e9phants dans le magasin de porcelaine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dans une anthologie r\u00e9cente, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.co.uk\/Free-Trade-Twenty-First-Century-Political-ebook\/dp\/B0DF17CJMY\/ref=sr_1_1?crid=19FG9LY4UDJEA&amp;dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.UbNHvvAbc2Saw3yHVKYCEg.VKUvbEqRl5UcligTUQ0dS9y8_pQPZhaWjBz8sfiZpr8&amp;dib_tag=se&amp;keywords=hannan+rangeley&amp;qid=1771791215&amp;sprefix=hannan+rangeley%2Caps%2C362&amp;sr=8-1\"><em>Free Trade in the Twenty-First Century,<\/em><\/a> \u00e9dit\u00e9e par Max Rangeley et Lord Daniel Hannan, les arguments en faveur du libre-\u00e9change sont clairement r\u00e9affirm\u00e9s. Toutefois, le livre ne se contente pas de r\u00e9it\u00e9rer de vieilles v\u00e9rit\u00e9s. Les essais les plus convaincants sont ceux d&rsquo;anciens hommes politiques, dont deux premiers ministres et plusieurs ministres du commerce, qui discutent des limites qu&rsquo;ils voient dans le principe du libre-\u00e9change. Ces personnes exp\u00e9riment\u00e9es soulignent que depuis le d\u00e9but des ann\u00e9es 2010, le monde a \u00e9t\u00e9 t\u00e9moin d&rsquo;une pause, voire d&rsquo;un renversement de la mondialisation, ainsi que de la mont\u00e9e de la polarisation, la Russie de Poutine et la Chine de Xi ayant effectivement initi\u00e9 une nouvelle guerre froide contre l&rsquo;Occident. Poutine et Xi consid\u00e8rent l&rsquo;Occident non seulement comme faible, mais reconnaissent \u00e9galement que sa libert\u00e9, sa prosp\u00e9rit\u00e9 et sa tol\u00e9rance menacent leur autocratie et, dans le cas de Poutine, leur kleptocratie.    <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fini de rire<\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Seules quelques personnes ont remarqu\u00e9 l&rsquo;invasion de la G\u00e9orgie par Poutine en 2008. De nombreuses personnes ont remarqu\u00e9 qu&rsquo;il avait envahi l&rsquo;Ukraine en 2014. Tout le monde a remarqu\u00e9 qu&rsquo;il a de nouveau envahi l&rsquo;Ukraine en 2022. En 2014, les pays occidentaux ont impos\u00e9 des sanctions \u00e0 la Russie, bien qu&rsquo;elles soient essentiellement symboliques. Le p\u00e9trole et le gaz naturel russes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 exempt\u00e9s parce que de nombreux pays europ\u00e9ens d\u00e9pendaient de ces sources d&rsquo;\u00e9nergie, y compris l&rsquo;Allemagne apr\u00e8s la fermeture irr\u00e9fl\u00e9chie de ses centrales nucl\u00e9aires. Nous nous souvenons tous de la <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=FfJv9QYrlwg\">sc\u00e8ne<\/a> qui s&rsquo;est d\u00e9roul\u00e9e \u00e0 l&rsquo;Assembl\u00e9e g\u00e9n\u00e9rale de l&rsquo;ONU le 25 septembre 2018, lorsque la d\u00e9l\u00e9gation allemande a ri de l&rsquo;avertissement du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain Trump selon lequel l&rsquo;Allemagne pourrait devenir trop d\u00e9pendante de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie russe. Les Allemands ne rient plus, et l&rsquo;Union europ\u00e9enne travaille sur un plan visant \u00e0 devenir ind\u00e9pendante des sources d&rsquo;\u00e9nergie russes.      <\/p><div class='related_content'><span>RELATED<\/span><ul><li><a href='https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/fr\/lue-lance-un-systeme-complet-dentree-sortie-une-refonte-numerique-des-controles-aux-frontieres'>L&rsquo;UE lance un syst\u00e8me complet d&rsquo;entr\u00e9e\/sortie : Une refonte num\u00e9rique des contr\u00f4les aux fronti\u00e8res<\/li><\/a><li><a href='https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/fr\/litalie-atteint-avec-cinq-ans-davance-lobjectif-fixe-par-lue-en-matiere-de-decrochage-scolaire'>L&rsquo;Italie atteint avec cinq ans d&rsquo;avance l&rsquo;objectif fix\u00e9 par l&rsquo;UE en mati\u00e8re de d\u00e9crochage scolaire<\/li><\/a><li><a href='https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/fr\/energie-geopolitique-et-dependances-le-report-par-leurope-de-lembargo-sur-le-petrole-russe'>\u00c9nergie, g\u00e9opolitique et d\u00e9pendances : Le report par l&rsquo;Europe de l&#8217;embargo sur le p\u00e9trole russe<\/li><\/a><\/ul><\/div>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Le commerce pr\u00e9suppose la confiance<\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">L&rsquo;exemple russe montre que le libre-\u00e9change repose sur un accord de base entre les partenaires commerciaux. Ils sont cens\u00e9s suivre, au moins en partie, les m\u00eames r\u00e8gles. La Russie a enfreint ces r\u00e8gles lorsqu&rsquo;elle a r\u00e9agi aux sanctions occidentales croissantes apr\u00e8s l&rsquo;invasion de l&rsquo;Ukraine en 2022 en interrompant l&rsquo;approvisionnement en gaz par le Nord Stream 1 et en stoppant la construction du Nord Stream 2. Dans son essai, l&rsquo;ancien Premier ministre australien Tony Abbott donne un autre exemple. Lorsque l&rsquo;Australie a demand\u00e9 une enqu\u00eate ind\u00e9pendante sur les origines du virus de Wuhan en 2020, la Chine a ripost\u00e9 en interdisant des exportations australiennes d&rsquo;une valeur d&rsquo;environ 20 milliards de dollars pour des motifs non prouv\u00e9s. (Cette r\u00e9action alimente elle-m\u00eame les soup\u00e7ons selon lesquels le virus \u00e0 l&rsquo;origine de la pand\u00e9mie de 2020-2021 serait sorti d&rsquo;un laboratoire plut\u00f4t que d&rsquo;\u00e9voluer naturellement).     <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Des partenaires commerciaux peu fiables<\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">En 1986-1987, j&rsquo;ai v\u00e9cu quelque temps \u00e0 Hong Kong. Le 16 f\u00e9vrier 1987, j&rsquo;ai publi\u00e9 un article dans le <em>Asian Wall Street Journal <\/em>dans lequel j&rsquo;exprimais l&rsquo;espoir que ce ne serait pas la Chine qui prendrait le contr\u00f4le de Hong Kong en 1997, mais plut\u00f4t Hong Kong qui influencerait la Chine &#8211; que la Chine tirerait une le\u00e7on de Hong Kong sur les pouvoirs cr\u00e9atifs d&rsquo;une soci\u00e9t\u00e9 libre. Pendant un certain temps, cela a sembl\u00e9 possible. Mais sous la direction de Xi depuis 2012, la Chine a pris un chemin diff\u00e9rent. Elle viole les droits de propri\u00e9t\u00e9 intellectuelle, accorde des subventions ill\u00e9gales \u00e0 des produits de base essentiels comme l&rsquo;acier, malm\u00e8ne ses voisins, y compris l&rsquo;Inde, se comporte de mani\u00e8re agressive en mer de Chine m\u00e9ridionale, ne tient pas sa promesse faite \u00e0 Hong Kong sur le principe \u00ab\u00a0un pays, deux syst\u00e8mes\u00a0\u00bb, r\u00e9prime les dissensions internes et menace Ta\u00efwan. Ni la Russie ni la Chine ne sont des partenaires commerciaux fiables parce qu&rsquo;elles n&rsquo;ont jamais vraiment cru en des march\u00e9s comp\u00e9titifs, mais seulement en des pays comp\u00e9titifs, pour reprendre l&rsquo;expression pertinente de M. Abbott. Il est difficile de ne pas \u00eatre d&rsquo;accord avec la conclusion d&rsquo;Abbott selon laquelle l&rsquo;Occident ne peut pas \u00e9tendre pleinement le principe du libre-\u00e9change \u00e0 la Russie et \u00e0 la Chine, les deux \u00e9l\u00e9phants de la boutique chinoise. La s\u00e9curit\u00e9 l&#8217;emporte sur le commerce.       <\/p>\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans une anthologie r\u00e9cente, Free Trade in the Twenty-First Century, \u00e9dit\u00e9e par Max Rangeley et Lord Daniel Hannan, les arguments en faveur du libre-\u00e9change sont clairement r\u00e9affirm\u00e9s. Toutefois, le livre ne se contente pas de r\u00e9it\u00e9rer de vieilles v\u00e9rit\u00e9s. Les essais les plus convaincants sont ceux d&rsquo;anciens hommes politiques, dont deux premiers ministres et plusieurs [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":51001,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2557],"tags":[576,237,877,214,1155],"editorial-positions":[],"regions":[2560,2562,2568],"types":[2570],"class_list":["post-51470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commerce-et-economie","tag-china","tag-energy","tag-germany","tag-russia","tag-trade","regions-asia-fr","regions-eastern-europe-fr","regions-world-fr","types-opinion-fr"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Les deux \u00e9l\u00e9phants dans le magasin de porcelaine - The Conservative<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/fr\/les-deux-elephants-dans-le-magasin-de-porcelaine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les deux \u00e9l\u00e9phants dans le magasin de porcelaine - The Conservative\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dans une anthologie r\u00e9cente, Free Trade in the Twenty-First Century, \u00e9dit\u00e9e par Max Rangeley et Lord Daniel Hannan, les arguments en faveur du libre-\u00e9change sont clairement r\u00e9affirm\u00e9s. Toutefois, le livre ne se contente pas de r\u00e9it\u00e9rer de vieilles v\u00e9rit\u00e9s. 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