{"id":2415,"date":"2021-10-21T13:41:33","date_gmt":"2021-10-21T13:41:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/taiwan-ar-trebui-aparat"},"modified":"2021-10-21T13:41:33","modified_gmt":"2021-10-21T13:41:33","slug":"taiwan-ar-trebui-aparat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/ro\/taiwan-ar-trebui-aparat","title":{"rendered":"Taiwan ar trebui ap\u0103rat"},"content":{"rendered":"

Este extrem de important dac\u0103 \u00eentrebarea: Ar trebui s\u0103 intr\u0103m \u00een r\u0103zboi pentru Taiwan? este pozat la Beijing sau la Washington…<\/p>\n

\u00cen anii 1940, Occidentului i-a luat c\u00e2\u021biva ani s\u0103 realizeze c\u0103 Stalin a \u00eenceput un R\u0103zboi Rece. De\u0219i \u00een iunie 1941 \u0219i-a unit for\u021bele cu Marea Britanie \u0219i cu celelalte \u021b\u0103ri ale Commonwealth-ului, dup\u0103 ce Hitler a \u00eenc\u0103lcat Pactul de neagresiune dintre cei doi dictatori \u0219i a atacat Uniunea Sovietic\u0103, el fusese anterior partenerul ner\u0103bd\u0103tor al lui Hitler. Stalin nu a devenit niciodat\u0103 un aliat loial al puterilor anglo-saxone care \u00eens\u0103, cu ajutorul crucial al poporului rus, au \u00eenvins Germania nazist\u0103 \u00een mai 1945. La sf\u00e2r\u0219itul r\u0103zboiului, Stalin \u0219i-a folosit Armata Ro\u0219ie pentru a \u00eenfiin\u021ba guverne marionete \u00een Europa Central\u0103 \u0219i de Est, spre deosebire de puterile victorioase anglo-saxone care au restaurat democra\u021bia \u00een Europa de Vest. Winston Churchill a fost unul dintre cei care \u0219i-au dat seama de la \u00eenceput c\u0103 Stalin nu avea nicio inten\u021bie s\u0103-\u0219i respecte angajamentele postbelice, de exemplu \u00een privin\u021ba alegerilor libere \u00een \u021b\u0103rile ocupate de Armata Ro\u0219ie. Stalin a fost un marxist ortodox \u0219i nepoc\u0103it, \u00eenclinat spre dominarea lumii. \u00cen 1946, Churchill a descris faimos o perdea de fier care coborase de la Stettin \u00een Marea Baltic\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la Trieste \u00een Marea Adriatic\u0103. R\u0103zboiul Rece, purtat pe mai multe fronturi \u00eentre \u00eenfiin\u021barea NATO \u00een aprilie 1949 \u0219i dizolvarea Uniunii Sovietice \u00een decembrie 1991, nu a fost doar o lupt\u0103 pentru putere \u00eentre doi gigan\u021bi bine \u00eenarma\u021bi, Statele Unite \u0219i Uniunea Sovietic\u0103. A fost \u0219i o ciocnire \u00eentre dou\u0103 seturi de idei, practicate de dou\u0103 grupuri de na\u021biuni: \u00een Occident, democra\u021bia, proprietatea privat\u0103, comer\u021bul liber \u0219i statul de drept, iar \u00een Est, despotismul, proprietatea public\u0103 a mijloacelor de produc\u021bie. , planificarea economic\u0103 central\u0103 \u0219i un stat poli\u021bienesc unipartid.<\/p>\n

Pozi\u021bia \u201elup-r\u0103zboinic\u201d a Chinei<\/h2>\n

Din 2012, c\u00e2nd Xi Jinping a preluat puterea \u00een China comunist\u0103, gigantul din Est se preg\u0103te\u0219te \u0219i chiar \u00eencepe un nou R\u0103zboi Rece<\/a> \u00eempotriva Occidentului. Cei care observaser\u0103 cu simpatie ceea ce p\u0103rea a fi introducerea prudent\u0103 a capitalismului \u00een China au sperat \u00eentr-o cooperare pa\u0219nic\u0103 \u00eentre ea \u0219i Occident, bazat\u0103 pe c\u00e2\u0219tig reciproc din comer\u021b \u0219i pe o evolu\u021bie treptat\u0103 \u00een China c\u0103tre democra\u021bie \u0219i respectarea drepturilor omului. \u0218i-au v\u0103zut speran\u021bele n\u0103ruite. China comunist\u0103 nu r\u0103m\u00e2ne doar un stat poli\u021bienesc cu un partid \u0219i este hot\u0103r\u00e2t\u0103 s\u0103 supravie\u021buiasc\u0103 ca atare. De asemenea, a devenit din ce \u00een ce mai despotic\u0103. \u00cen Tibet, ea guverneaz\u0103 ca o putere colonial\u0103, \u00eencerc\u00e2nd sistematic s\u0103 distrug\u0103 identitatea \u0219i cultura na\u021biunii tibetane. \u00cen Hong Kong, ea a \u00eenc\u0103lcat Declara\u021bia comun\u0103 chino-britanica<\/a> din 1984 despre \u201eo \u021bar\u0103, dou\u0103 sisteme\u201d, pun\u00e2nd, \u00een esen\u021b\u0103, cap\u0103t libert\u0103\u021bilor civile<\/a> de care se bucurau locuitorii atunci c\u00e2nd erau sub st\u0103p\u00e2nire britanic\u0103. \u00cen provincia ei \u00eendep\u0103rtat\u0103 din est, Xinjiang, ea conduce ceea ce echivaleaz\u0103 cu un r\u0103zboi \u00eempotriva unei minorit\u0103\u021bi musulmane, uigurii, care sunt trimi\u0219i \u00een mul\u021bime \u00een lag\u0103rele de munc\u0103. Aceasta este Gleichschaltung<\/em> , stil chinezesc. Persecu\u021biile \u00eempotriva cre\u0219tinilor au \u00eenceput din nou \u00een China, internetul este strict controlat, iar c\u0103r\u021bile sunt interzise ori de c\u00e2te ori dezv\u0103luie excesele comuniste, precum lucr\u0103rile fundamentale ale lui Jung Chang<\/a> \u0219i Frank Dik\u00f6tter<\/a> , chiar dac\u0103 astfel de excese sunt cel pu\u021bin par\u021bial admise de conducerea comunist\u0103. . Pre\u0219edintele Xi folose\u0219te, de asemenea, puterile statului pentru a-i dobor\u00ee pe acei magna\u021bi de afaceri care \u00eendr\u0103znesc s\u0103-l provoace, trat\u00e2ndu-i aproape ca \u0219i cum bol\u0219evicii s-au ocupat de oamenii din NEP \u00een anii 1920. Pentru Lenin \u0219i Stalin, liberalizarea par\u021bial\u0103 a perioadei NEP \u00eentre 1921 \u0219i 1928 a fost \u201eun pas \u00eenapoi, urmat de doi pa\u0219i \u00eenainte\u201d. Xi le calc\u0103 pe urme?<\/p>\n

Comuni\u0219tii chinezi nu \u00ee\u0219i limiteaz\u0103 agresivitatea la neferici\u021bii lor supu\u0219i. Ei au adoptat o nou\u0103 \u201ediploma\u021bie lup-r\u0103zboinic\u201d \u00een str\u0103in\u0103tate. Ei refuz\u0103 s\u0103 accepte orice investiga\u021bie cuprinz\u0103toare \u0219i credibil\u0103 a virusului Wuhan care a dat lumea peste cap \u00een ultimele dou\u0103zeci \u0219i dou\u0103 de luni, indic\u00e2nd astfel c\u0103 au ceva de ascuns; par s\u0103 organizeze atacuri cibernetice asupra institu\u021biilor \u0219i companiilor occidentale; \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 preia controlul asupra organiza\u021biilor interna\u021bionale, cenzur\u00e2nd rapoartele Organiza\u021biei Mondiale a S\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u021bii \u0219i ale Fondului Monetar Interna\u021bional; ei stabilesc o re\u021bea dubioas\u0103 de a\u0219a-zise centre Confucius \u00een universit\u0103\u021bile occidentale; au intimidat for\u021bele indiene la grani\u021ba lung\u0103 \u0219i muntoas\u0103 dintre cele dou\u0103 \u021b\u0103ri; folosesc oameni de afaceri str\u0103ini cu sediul \u00een China sau care trec pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 China ca ostatici pentru rezolvarea disputelor cu \u021b\u0103ri civilizate precum Canada \u0219i Australia; ei resping hot\u0103r\u00e2rea<\/a> Cur\u021bii Permanente de Arbitraj de la Haga c\u0103 nu au preten\u021bii asupra Insulelor Spratly din Marea Chinei de Sud \u0219i men\u021bin o prezen\u021b\u0103 militar\u0103 acolo; navele lor de pescuit opereaz\u0103 cu impunitate \u00een zonele de pescuit ale altor \u021b\u0103ri, cum ar fi Filipine \u0219i Indonezia. Pe scurt, pentru cei dintre noi care speraser\u0103 la integrarea Chinei \u00een capitalismul global, ea s-a transformat \u00eentr-un partener nesigur, r\u0103zbun\u0103tor \u0219i agresiv. Mai mult, acum pre\u0219edintele Xi pare s\u0103 preg\u0103teasc\u0103 o invazie a Taiwanului.<\/p>\n

Merit\u0103 Taiwan un r\u0103zboi?<\/h2>\n

Taiwanul nu face parte din China de mai mult de un secol, cu excep\u021bia a patru ani imediat dup\u0103 cel de-al Doilea R\u0103zboi Mondial, iar locuitorii ei cu siguran\u021b\u0103 nu vor s\u0103 \u00eempart\u0103 soarta chinezilor din Hong Kong, sau a uigurilor din Xinjiang, sau tibetanii. Ei sunt aproape un om care se opune unei anex\u0103ri chineze a insulei, spre deosebire de germanii din Sude\u021bi \u0219i ru\u0219ii din Crimeea care au salutat invaziile lui Hitler \u0219i, respectiv, Putin. Cei care admir\u0103 cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 rapid\u0103 din China continental\u0103 dup\u0103 ce ea a respins comunismul pe scar\u0103 larg\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul anilor 1970 ar trebui s\u0103 \u021bin\u0103 cont de faptul c\u0103 celelalte trei economii chineze, din Hong Kong, Singapore \u0219i Taiwan, au cunoscut o cre\u0219tere mult mai rapid\u0103 \u0219i o prosperitate general\u0103 mai mare. , demonstr\u00e2nd puterea creatoare a capitalismului. Este adev\u0103rat c\u0103 Occidentul a intrat \u00een r\u0103zboi cu Polonia, Coreea de Sud \u0219i Kuweit. Dar nu a rezistat cu for\u021ba anex\u0103rii Sude\u021bilor, Tibetului, Crimeei \u0219i Hong Kong-ului (ca s\u0103 nu mai vorbim de \u021b\u0103rile baltice). Cel mai recent, a abandonat Afganistanul. Merit\u0103 Taiwan un r\u0103zboi? Aceasta este o \u00eentrebare care trebuie discutat\u0103 serios \u0219i nu pur \u0219i simplu respins\u0103 nici de \u0219oimii care nu au v\u0103zut niciodat\u0103 un r\u0103zboi care nu le-a pl\u0103cut, nici de porumbeii care \u00ee\u0219i doresc mereu lini\u0219terea. \u00cen primul r\u00e2nd, ar trebui s\u0103 subliniez c\u0103 folosesc no\u021biunea de \u201eOccident\u201d \u00eentr-un sens larg, cuprinz\u00e2nd nu numai Europa \u0219i America de Nord, ci \u0219i Australia, Noua Zeeland\u0103, Coreea de Sud \u0219i Japonia \u0219i, eventual, alte \u021b\u0103ri asiatice precum India. , Indonezia \u0219i Philippene. \u00cen al doilea r\u00e2nd, aceasta nu va fi niciodat\u0103 o \u00eentrebare numai despre Taiwan. C\u00e2nd hr\u0103ni\u021bi lupii fl\u0103m\u00e2nzi, \u00eei \u00eent\u0103ri\u021bi. Este o \u00eentrebare despre ce s-ar \u00eent\u00e2mpla \u00een continuare, cu o China foarte \u00eencurajat\u0103. Acesta este un proces dinamic continuu mai degrab\u0103 dec\u00e2t o stare sta\u021bionar\u0103.<\/p>\n

Cel mai important, \u00eentrebarea dac\u0103 s\u0103 intri \u00een r\u0103zboi pentru Taiwan nu poate fi discutat\u0103 \u00een abstract. Totul depinde de locul \u00een<\/em> care ar fi pus\u0103 acea \u00eentrebare \u0219i de cine<\/em> ar pune-o. Dac\u0103 Taiwanul, cu alia\u021bii s\u0103i naturali, cum ar fi Statele Unite, Australia, Regatul Unit \u0219i poate Coreea de Sud \u0219i Japonia, ar reu\u0219i s\u0103 resping\u0103 un atac ini\u021bial al \u201eArmata de Eliberare a Poporului\u201d a Chinei, denumit\u0103 gre\u0219it, atunci ar fi conduc\u0103torii. la Beijing, cine \u0219i-ar pune aceast\u0103 \u00eentrebare: Ar trebui s\u0103 intr\u0103m \u00een r\u0103zboi pentru Taiwan? Dac\u0103 totu\u0219i China comunist\u0103 ar reu\u0219i s\u0103 ocupe Taiwanul relativ rapid \u0219i f\u0103r\u0103 efort, \u00eenainte de a sosi \u00eent\u0103ririle, atunci guvernele Statelor Unite, Australiei, Regatului Unit \u0219i alia\u021bilor lor ar fi cei care ar pune aceast\u0103 \u00eentrebare: Ar trebui s\u0103 mergem la r\u0103zboi peste Taiwan? \u00cen ambele cazuri, r\u0103spunsul este probabil: Nu. Prin urmare, soarta Taiwanului va fi decis\u0103 de capacitatea ei de a se ap\u0103ra \u00eempotriva unui atac ini\u021bial. De\u0219i este dep\u0103\u0219it\u0103 de China, rezultatul unui astfel de conflict militar nu este o concluzie dinainte. Goliatii nu-i \u00eenving invariabil pe David. Aminti\u021bi-v\u0103 de b\u0103t\u0103lia naval\u0103 de la Salamina din 480 \u00ee.Hr., c\u00e2nd o alian\u021b\u0103 a ora\u0219elor state grece\u0219ti a c\u00e2\u0219tigat o victorie \u00eempotriva puternicului Imperiu Persan. Mai recent, lua\u021bi \u00een considerare finlandezii \u00een 1939 \u0219i israelienii \u00een 1948. Finlandezii au reu\u0219it s\u0103 reziste Armatei Ro\u0219ii suficient de mult \u0219i cu un pre\u021b at\u00e2t de mare pentru Stalin, \u00eenc\u00e2t acesta a decis s\u0103 accepte suveranitatea Finlandei, pretinz\u00e2nd doar c\u00e2teva teritorii finlandeze de importan\u021b\u0103 strategic\u0103 pentru Uniunea Sovietic\u0103. Israelienii au reu\u0219it s\u0103 resping\u0103 atacul Ligii Arabe comune \u0219i s\u0103-\u0219i apere statul suveran \u0219i au f\u0103cut acest lucru p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent, unele state arabe recunosc\u00e2nd \u00een cele din urm\u0103 Israelul.<\/p>\n

Taiwan poate, la fel ca Finlanda \u00een 1939 \u0219i Israelul \u00een 1948, s\u0103 se apere<\/h2>\n

Aceste dou\u0103 exemple sugereaz\u0103 ce trebuie f\u0103cut. Taiwan este o insul\u0103 extrem de protejat\u0103. Ea trebuie s\u0103 men\u021bin\u0103 o for\u021b\u0103 de ap\u0103rare at\u00e2t de puternic\u0103 \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 poat\u0103, ca Finlanda \u00een 1939 \u0219i Israelul \u00een 1948, s\u0103 evite s\u0103 fie ocupat\u0103 \u00een decurs de c\u00e2teva zile. Atunci \u00eentrebarea va fi pus\u0103 mai degrab\u0103 la Beijing dec\u00e2t la Washington: Ar trebui s\u0103 intr\u0103m \u00een r\u0103zboi \u00eempotriva celeilalte superputeri din Taiwan? Dar, a\u0219a cum a sus\u021binut cu convingere Edward Luttwak, Taiwanul nu a investit suficient \u00een capacit\u0103\u021bile sale militare, spre deosebire de Finlanda \u0219i Israel. Ea cheltuie\u0219te doar aproximativ unsprezece miliarde de dolari pe an pentru securitatea ei, aceea\u0219i sum\u0103 ca \u0219i Singapore. Israelul cheltuie\u0219te mult mai mult, dou\u0103zeci \u0219i dou\u0103 de miliarde de dolari, pe o for\u021b\u0103 de ap\u0103rare foarte motivat\u0103 \u0219i intens antrenat\u0103, \u00een timp ce Finlanda se bazeaz\u0103 pe 600.000 de rezervi\u0219ti. Taiwanul are nevoie de o armat\u0103 permanent\u0103 bine echipat\u0103 \u0219i bine preg\u0103tit\u0103, format\u0103 din unu p\u00e2n\u0103 la dou\u0103 milioane de recru\u021bi (pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 rezervi\u0219ti), \u00een loc s\u0103 se bazeze pe americani. \u021aara ar trebui ap\u0103rat\u0103, dar \u00een primul r\u00e2nd de c\u0103tre taiwanezi \u00een\u0219i\u0219i \u0219i cu ajutorul \u021b\u0103rilor occidentale \u0219i ale vecinilor Chinei care doresc s\u0103 men\u021bin\u0103 un anumit echilibru de putere \u00een regiune. Recentul acord militar dintre Statele Unite, Australia \u0219i Regatul Unit trebuie extins la \u021b\u0103ri asiatice precum Japonia \u0219i India. Exist\u0103 dou\u0103 motive pentru care China a \u00eenceput un nou R\u0103zboi Rece. Conducerea comunist\u0103 se confrunt\u0103 cu dificult\u0103\u021bi economice \u0219i demografice interne din ce \u00een ce mai mari \u0219i dore\u0219te cu disperare s\u0103-\u0219i p\u0103streze \u0219i s\u0103-\u0219i extind\u0103 puterea \u0219i prestigiul, \u00een acela\u0219i timp cu subestimeaz\u0103 Occidentul din cauza lipsei aparente de conducere, a tulbur\u0103rilor politice \u0219i a absurdit\u0103\u021bilor trezite pe care le observ\u0103 \u00een America de Nord \u0219i Europa. Dar dac\u0103 Taiwanul este suficient de puternic, cu mesaje ferme de sprijin din partea Occidentului, sus\u021binute de prezen\u021ba \u00een apropierea Taiwanului a Marinei SUA \u0219i a altor for\u021be militare, China comunist\u0103 va l\u0103sa suficient s\u0103 intimideze mai degrab\u0103 dec\u00e2t s\u0103 invadeze. Nu exist\u0103 niciun motiv pentru care ar trebui s\u0103 fim \u00eenvin\u0219i \u00een acest nou R\u0103zboi Rece \u00een care Taiwanul va fi un test crucial. Dup\u0103 cum spuneau romanii, Si vic pacem, para bellum<\/em> . Daca vrei pace pregateste-te de razboi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Este extrem de important dac\u0103 \u00eentrebarea: Ar trebui s\u0103 intr\u0103m \u00een r\u0103zboi pentru Taiwan? este pozat la Beijing sau la Washington… \u00cen anii 1940, Occidentului i-a luat c\u00e2\u021biva ani s\u0103 realizeze c\u0103 Stalin a \u00eenceput un R\u0103zboi Rece. De\u0219i \u00een iunie 1941 \u0219i-a unit for\u021bele cu Marea Britanie \u0219i cu celelalte \u021b\u0103ri ale Commonwealth-ului, dup\u0103 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":1811,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[200],"tags":[],"editorial-positions":[],"regions":[398],"types":[456],"class_list":["post-2415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sanatate","regions-asia-ro","types-opinion-ro"],"yoast_head":"\nTaiwan ar trebui ap\u0103rat - The Conservative<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/ro\/taiwan-ar-trebui-aparat\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Taiwan ar trebui ap\u0103rat - The Conservative\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Este extrem de important dac\u0103 \u00eentrebarea: Ar trebui s\u0103 intr\u0103m \u00een r\u0103zboi pentru Taiwan? este pozat la Beijing sau la Washington… \u00cen anii 1940, Occidentului i-a luat c\u00e2\u021biva ani s\u0103 realizeze c\u0103 Stalin a \u00eenceput un R\u0103zboi Rece. 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