{"id":18493,"date":"2024-01-31T16:45:51","date_gmt":"2024-01-31T16:45:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/kommer-det-fortfarande-att-vara-trump-mot-biden"},"modified":"2024-01-31T16:45:51","modified_gmt":"2024-01-31T16:45:51","slug":"kommer-det-fortfarande-att-vara-trump-mot-biden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/sv\/kommer-det-fortfarande-att-vara-trump-mot-biden","title":{"rendered":"Kommer det fortfarande att vara Trump mot Biden?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mot valet i USA 2024<\/h3>\n

Motorerna g\u00e5r varma inf\u00f6r n\u00e4sta amerikanska val d\u00e4r man skall t\u00e4vla om den \u00e5tr\u00e5v\u00e4rda rollen som F\u00f6renta staternas president. En av de mest polariserade valkonflikterna p\u00e5 global niv\u00e5, med tanke p\u00e5 att man traditionellt v\u00e4ljer mellan demokraternas och republikanernas kandidat, med kvarst\u00e5ende resultat f\u00f6r de andra amerikanska partierna som libertarianerna och de gr\u00f6na.<\/p>\n

Valet 2020 avslutades med den omtvistade segern – p\u00e5 Trump-sidan – f\u00f6r Joe Biden (D) som vann \u00f6ver den avg\u00e5ende presidenten Donald Trump (D) med 51,31% och vann 306 v\u00e4ljare fr\u00e5n 26 delstater. Segrarna i de s\u00e5 kallade ”swing states” var avg\u00f6rande, det vill s\u00e4ga de delstater d\u00e4r republikanerna vann 2016 och demokraterna 2020.<\/p>\n

I m\u00e5nga fall var dock segrarna minimala: i Arizona vann Biden med bara 10.000 r\u00f6ster (0,3%), i Georgia med 12.000 (0,3%), i Wisconsin med 20.000 (0,6%). De 37 stora elektorerna i dessa tre stater skulle, om de bekr\u00e4ftats av Trump, ha lett till ett betydande oavgjort resultat, vilket i vilket fall som helst visar hur Amerika \u00e4r djupt splittrat, vilket tydligt kunde ses fr\u00e5n angreppet p\u00e5 Capitol Hill den 6 januari 2021.<\/p>\n

\"\"Det finns m\u00e5nga orosmoment inf\u00f6r de kommande valen i b\u00e5da partierna. Fr\u00e5n demokraternas sida \u00e4r den naturliga kandidaten uppenbarligen den avg\u00e5ende presidenten Joe Biden, som dock lider av tv\u00e5 allvarliga negativa faktorer: \u00e5 ena sidan hans brist p\u00e5 popularitet (f\u00f6r n\u00e4rvarande ger opinionsunders\u00f6kningarna republikanerna \u00f6vertaget i folkomr\u00f6stningen p\u00e5 nationell niv\u00e5) i n\u00e4stan alla fall) och \u00e5 andra sidan hans h\u00f6ga \u00e5lder, eftersom han kommer att inleda sin andra mandatperiod vid 82 \u00e5rs \u00e5lder.<\/p>\n

De andra kandidaterna i demokraternas prim\u00e4rval \u00e4r Dean Phillips (parlamentsledamot fr\u00e5n Minnesota) och Marianne Williamson, en socialt engagerad f\u00f6rfattare. Namn som inte \u00e4r stora namn och som inte p\u00e5 n\u00e5got s\u00e4tt kommer att oroa Biden, som i st\u00e4llet kommer att f\u00e5 ta itu med Robert F. Kennedy Jr, en sjuttio\u00e5rig advokat fr\u00e5n den v\u00e4lk\u00e4nda Kennedy-familjen som har dragit sig ur kampen om demokraternas nominering men fruktar m\u00f6jligheten att st\u00e4lla upp som oberoende kandidat. I detta fall \u00e4r det troligt att m\u00e5nga r\u00f6ster fr\u00e5n \u00f6stkusten, d\u00e4r familjen Kennedy har sina historiska r\u00f6tter, skulle kunna f\u00f6rsvaga Biden och d\u00e4rmed demokraterna.<\/p>\n

Situationen bland republikanerna \u00e4r inte s\u00e4rskilt annorlunda, \u00e4ven om Donald Trump nyligen segrade i alla opinionsunders\u00f6kningar och \u00e4ven fick st\u00f6d av Vivek Ramaswamy, en entrepren\u00f6r som drog sig ur t\u00e4vlingen efter de nedsl\u00e5ende resultaten i Iowa, och Ron DeSantis, guvern\u00f6r i Florida, som verkade vara den mest formidabla av motst\u00e5ndare. Men klyftan mellan den tidigare presidenten och det republikanska partiet \u00e4r uppenbar: Trump bj\u00f6ds inte in till n\u00e5gon prim\u00e4rvalsdebatt, han betraktas n\u00e4stan som en outsider, och framf\u00f6r allt anser vissa stater att han inte \u00e4r valbar, han anklagas b\u00e5de f\u00f6r sin roll i attacken p\u00e5 Capitol Hill, f\u00f6r innehav av konfidentiella och sekretessbelagda dokument samt f\u00f6r f\u00f6rfalskning av f\u00f6retagsdokument.<\/p>\n

Hittills har d\u00e4rf\u00f6r det republikanska partiets ytterligare sj\u00e4l i prim\u00e4rvalen representerats av Nikki Haley, tidigare amerikansk FN-ambassad\u00f6r och guvern\u00f6r i South Carolina och f\u00f6retr\u00e4dare f\u00f6r de neokonservativa, k\u00e4nda f\u00f6r en st\u00f6rre ben\u00e4genhet till ekonomisk liberalism och en mer aktiv roll f\u00f6r F\u00f6renta staterna i det internationella scenariot.<\/p>\n

Men i alla opinionsunders\u00f6kningar, och hittills \u00e4ven i prim\u00e4rvalsunders\u00f6kningarna, anses Trump allm\u00e4nt vinna. Resultatet var tydligt i b\u00e5de Iowa och New Hampshire, d\u00e4r Trump vann med mer \u00e4n 51 % av r\u00f6sterna. Faktum kvarst\u00e5r dock att den interna partiapparaten forts\u00e4tter att inte p\u00e5 ett \u00f6vertygande s\u00e4tt fr\u00e4mja hans kandidatur, och en eventuell f\u00e4llande dom skulle inte kunna m\u00f6jligg\u00f6ra valframg\u00e5ngar mot Biden.<\/p>\n

I opinionsunders\u00f6kningarna ses Biden som en f\u00f6rlorare oavsett om hans utmanare \u00e4r Trump eller om Nikki Haley m\u00f6ter honom. Han skulle ha haft hopp med Ron DeSantis. F\u00f6r Kamala Harris finns det dock ingen chans att hon skulle vara mer \u00e4n 7 procentenheter efter Trump. Dessa omr\u00f6stningar g\u00e4ller dock alltid folkets r\u00f6ster, vilket \u00e4r ett viktigt index men inte det enda elementet att ta h\u00e4nsyn till.<\/p>\n

\"\"I de enskilda delstaterna Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania och Wisconsin anses det vara ”too close to call”, dvs. med en skillnad som \u00e4r l\u00e4gre \u00e4n den felmarginal med vilken presidentvalet kommer att avg\u00f6ras d\u00e4r, med tanke p\u00e5 att det \u00e4r ett paket med 56 elektorer. Andra viktiga delstater \u00e4r Michigan, Nevada (som vanns av Biden) och North Carolina (som vanns av Trump) och \u00e4ven om demokraterna har en liten f\u00f6rdel i v\u00e4ljarprognoserna verkar republikanerna ha ett f\u00f6rspr\u00e5ng i flera delstater.<\/p>\n

Valkampanjen kommer s\u00e4kerligen att bli avg\u00f6rande och hittills \u00e4r m\u00f6jligheterna till en ”rematch” i konflikten mellan Biden och Trump mycket stora. Det kommer inte att finnas n\u00e5gon s\u00e4kerhet f\u00f6rr\u00e4n de tv\u00e5 partiernas konvent har h\u00e5llits: i Milwaukee (Wisconsin) f\u00f6r republikanerna den 15-18 juli; i Chicago (Ill.) f\u00f6r demokraterna den 19-22 augusti.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mot valet i USA 2024 Motorerna g\u00e5r varma inf\u00f6r n\u00e4sta amerikanska val d\u00e4r man skall t\u00e4vla om den \u00e5tr\u00e5v\u00e4rda rollen som F\u00f6renta staternas president. En av de mest polariserade valkonflikterna p\u00e5 global niv\u00e5, med tanke p\u00e5 att man traditionellt v\u00e4ljer mellan demokraternas och republikanernas kandidat, med kvarst\u00e5ende resultat f\u00f6r de andra amerikanska partierna som libertarianerna […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":17893,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,164],"tags":[],"editorial-positions":[42],"regions":[374,411],"types":[416,453],"class_list":["post-18493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-okategoriserad","category-politik","editorial-positions-focus","regions-usa-sv","regions-world-sv","types-news-sv","types-opinion-sv"],"yoast_head":"\nKommer det fortfarande att vara Trump mot Biden? - The Conservative<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theconservative.online\/sv\/kommer-det-fortfarande-att-vara-trump-mot-biden\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kommer det fortfarande att vara Trump mot Biden? - The Conservative\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mot valet i USA 2024 Motorerna g\u00e5r varma inf\u00f6r n\u00e4sta amerikanska val d\u00e4r man skall t\u00e4vla om den \u00e5tr\u00e5v\u00e4rda rollen som F\u00f6renta staternas president. 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