Debatten mellan Biden och Trump torsdagen den 27 juni 2024 avsl\u00f6jade det som jag har sagt l\u00e4nge, n\u00e4mligen att Joe Biden \u00e4r mentalt och fysiskt ol\u00e4mplig som USA:s president. Men den avsl\u00f6jade detta inte bara f\u00f6r de amerikanska v\u00e4ljarna utan ocks\u00e5 f\u00f6r den fria v\u00e4rldens fiender – de vargar som lurar i jordens m\u00f6rka gr\u00e4nder, Xi i Kina, Putin i Ryssland, Khameini i Iran och den unge Kim i Nordkorea. Det \u00e4r mycket m\u00f6jligt att de kommer att se detta som en m\u00f6jlighet, Putin att f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka sin invasion av Ukraina, Xi att l\u00e4gga beslag p\u00e5 Taiwan, Khameini att attackera Israel och den unge Kim att st\u00e4lla till med ofog med sina missiler. Det \u00e4r s\u00e5 h\u00e4r diktatorer g\u00f6r. Om de ser en svaghet eller brist p\u00e5 beslutsamhet agerar de. Biden visade verkligen i debatten att USA inte har n\u00e5gon ledare.<\/p>\n
Ofta tar diktatorerna en chansning, och ibland f\u00e5r de inte som de vill efter att ha \u00f6vertr\u00e4ffat sig sj\u00e4lva. Hitler br\u00f6t mot Versaillesf\u00f6rdraget 1936 genom att skicka den tyska arm\u00e9n till Rhenlandet. Ingenting h\u00e4nde. Han br\u00f6t mot f\u00f6rdraget igen genom att upprusta. Ingenting h\u00e4nde. Han lade 1938 beslag p\u00e5 Sudetenland, som huvudsakligen befolkades av tysktalande, med Storbritanniens och Frankrikes samtycke. Han tog snart kontroll \u00f6ver resten av Tjeckoslovakien. Ingenting h\u00e4nde. Sedan invaderade han Polen 1939, och till slut reagerade Storbritannien och Frankrike och f\u00f6rklarade krig mot Tyskland, till Hitlers stora besvikelse. Han hade trott att han skulle komma undan med detta, precis som med sina tidigare lyckade satsningar.<\/p>
P\u00e5 samma s\u00e4tt invaderade Putin Georgien 2008 och lade beslag p\u00e5 vissa territorier. Ingenting h\u00e4nde. Han invaderade Ukraina 2014 och lade beslag p\u00e5 Krim och territorier i \u00f6stra Ukraina. Ingenting h\u00e4nde (av n\u00e5gon betydelse). Putin trodde d\u00e4rf\u00f6r 2021 att han skulle kunna invadera Ukraina igen f\u00f6r att hindra landet fr\u00e5n att g\u00e5 med i v\u00e4st, men nu fick han motst\u00e5nd och tv\u00e5 l\u00e4nder med v\u00e4lutrustade och v\u00e4ltr\u00e4nade milit\u00e4ra styrkor gick omedelbart med i Nato, Sverige och Finland. Putin trodde, felaktigt, att han kunde komma undan med detta. Det gjorde ocks\u00e5 den till synes aningsl\u00f6sa amerikanska underr\u00e4ttelsetj\u00e4nsten, och USA skyndade sig att erbjuda den ukrainske ledaren Zelensky asyl i b\u00f6rjan av invasionen.<\/p>\n
Debatten mellan Biden och Trump avsl\u00f6jade en otrolig svaghet i ledarskapet f\u00f6r den fria v\u00e4rlden. Det finns en tydlig och n\u00e4rvarande fara under m\u00e5naderna som leder fram till presidentvalet i USA. F\u00f6rhoppningsvis kommer m\u00e4nniskorna runt Biden, och som det verkar, de som kontrollerar honom, att agera best\u00e4mt men f\u00f6rsiktigt f\u00f6r att avv\u00e4rja denna fara. USA kontrollerar den \u00f6verl\u00e4gset m\u00e4ktigaste milit\u00e4ra styrkan i v\u00e4rlden. Men \u00e4ven europeiska och asiatiska ledare m\u00e5ste ta tillf\u00e4llet i akt. Kriget i Ukraina m\u00e5ste f\u00e5 ett slut, och tyv\u00e4rr kommer det inte att sluta med att Ryssland slutgiltigt besegras. D\u00e4rf\u00f6r m\u00e5ste man hitta en l\u00f6sning som b\u00e5de Ryssland och Ukraina kan acceptera. Det m\u00e5ste bli ett eldupph\u00f6r och en uppdelning av de omstridda territorierna i m\u00e5nga r\u00f6stningszoner d\u00e4r v\u00e4ljarna i fria val, under internationell \u00f6vervakning, avg\u00f6r om deras zon ska tillh\u00f6ra Ukraina eller Ryssland.<\/p>\n
S\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00f6ste Danmark och Tyskland tvisten om Schleswig 1920. Regionen var indelad i tre r\u00f6stningszoner. Den nordligaste zonen r\u00f6stade p\u00e5 Danmark och den centrala zonen p\u00e5 Tyskland, och sedan ans\u00e5gs det on\u00f6digt att h\u00e5lla ett val i den sydligaste zonen, eftersom det var uppenbart att inv\u00e5narna med \u00f6verv\u00e4ldigande majoritet skulle r\u00f6sta p\u00e5 Tyskland. F\u00f6ljaktligen flyttades gr\u00e4nsen mellan de tv\u00e5 l\u00e4nderna s\u00f6derut, p\u00e5 fredlig v\u00e4g.<\/p>\n
De europeiska ledarna m\u00e5ste ocks\u00e5 inse att de m\u00e5ste l\u00e4gga mindre pengar p\u00e5 v\u00e4lf\u00e4rdsf\u00f6rm\u00e5ner (s\u00e5dana f\u00f6rm\u00e5ner blir \u00e4nd\u00e5 mindre och mindre n\u00f6dv\u00e4ndiga i takt med \u00f6kat v\u00e4lst\u00e5nd) och mer p\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvar. De kan inte f\u00f6rv\u00e4nta sig att USA ska b\u00e4ra merparten av kostnaderna f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rsvara Europa, som hittills har varit fallet. Samarbetet \u00f6ver Nordatlanten, i Nato, m\u00e5ste st\u00e4rkas, men det m\u00e5ste vara ett samarbete mellan l\u00e4nder som var och en bidrar med n\u00e5got. Europ\u00e9erna m\u00e5ste ge och inte bara ta emot. Detta beskrivs v\u00e4ltaligt i en isl\u00e4ndsk vikingadikt:<\/p>\n
Med kl\u00e4der och vapen skall v\u00e4nner gl\u00e4dja varandra,
\ns\u00e5 har man bevisat sig sj\u00e4lv;
\nf\u00f6r v\u00e4nner varar l\u00e4ngst, om \u00f6det \u00e4r r\u00e4ttvist
\nsom ger och ger igen.<\/p><\/blockquote>\nTaiwan m\u00e5ste f\u00f6rsvaras<\/h3>\n
Xi b\u00f6r inte heller till\u00e5tas att l\u00e4gga beslag p\u00e5 Taiwan, fr\u00e4mst eftersom det skulle vara b\u00f6rjan p\u00e5 en process snarare \u00e4n dess slut: det skulle inneb\u00e4ra ett mer aggressivt Kina som hotar sina grannar. F\u00f6rsvaret av Taiwan m\u00e5ste i f\u00f6rsta hand vara en uppgift f\u00f6r taiwaneserna sj\u00e4lva, som skulle kunna l\u00e4ra sig mycket av finl\u00e4ndarna 1940 om hur man effektivt f\u00f6rsvarar ett litet land mot en invasion fr\u00e5n ett stort land. Men Sydkorea och Japan, och m\u00f6jligen Vietnam, Indien och Filippinerna, har ocks\u00e5 ett starkt intresse av att inte mata vargen s\u00e5 att den springer fortare. Sist men inte minst m\u00e5ste USA och dess n\u00e4rmaste allierade, Storbritannien, Australien och Nya Zeeland, ta sitt ansvar i det nya kalla krig som Xi inledde 2012. De m\u00e5ste f\u00f6rbereda sig f\u00f6r att hindra en invasion eller blockad av Taiwan.<\/p>\n
I de internationella f\u00f6ljderna av Biden-Trump-debatten, och framf\u00f6r allt diktatorernas insikt om hur svagt USA:s ledarskap \u00e4r, m\u00e5ste vi f\u00f6rbereda oss f\u00f6r det v\u00e4rsta, samtidigt som vi b\u00f6r hoppas p\u00e5 det b\u00e4sta.<\/p>\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Debatten mellan Biden och Trump torsdagen den 27 juni 2024 avsl\u00f6jade det som jag har sagt l\u00e4nge, n\u00e4mligen att Joe Biden \u00e4r mentalt och fysiskt ol\u00e4mplig som USA:s president. Men den avsl\u00f6jade detta inte bara f\u00f6r de amerikanska v\u00e4ljarna utan ocks\u00e5 f\u00f6r den fria v\u00e4rldens fiender – de vargar som lurar i jordens m\u00f6rka gr\u00e4nder, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":29756,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[164],"tags":[1050,1006,771,213,813],"editorial-positions":[42],"regions":[335,374,411],"types":[453],"class_list":["post-29770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politik","tag-joe-biden","tag-taiwan","tag-trump","tag-ukraine","tag-united-states","editorial-positions-focus","regions-eastern-europe-sv","regions-usa-sv","regions-world-sv","types-opinion-sv"],"yoast_head":"\n
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